Can't say I think much of Guardians pitcher Carlos Carrasco but that Angels lineup looks really weak today with the likes of Luis Rengifo and Logan O'Hoppe out -- plus of course Mike Trout is on the IL. Pitcher Griffin Canning is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA on the road.

The Angels are 2-7 in their last nine games, and even though the lineup lost Mike Trout for the foreseeable future, their pitching might be an even bigger problem. Griffin Canning hasn't been quite as bad as his 7.45 ERA suggests, but he hasn't been great, and in particular he hasn't managed to pitch long into his six starts. In fact, if he hits this Over, it would be his longest start of the season, coming on the road against a very good Guardians team. We also have weather implications with rain the forecast that adds at least some potential for Canning's start to end early.